CRYPTOCURRENCY PRICE ANALYSIS, PREDICTION, AND FORECASTING USING MACHINE LEARNING WITH PYTHON
ਇਸ ਈ-ਕਿਤਾਬ ਬਾਰੇ
The first step of the project involves exploring the dataset to gain insights into the structure and contents of the data. We will examine the columns, data types, and any missing values present. After that, we will preprocess the data, handling any missing values and converting data types as needed. This will ensure that our data is clean and ready for analysis.
Next, we will proceed with visualizing the dataset to understand the trends and patterns in cryptocurrency prices over time. We will create line plots, box plot, violin plot, and other visualizations to study price movements, trading volumes, and volatility across different cryptocurrencies. These visualizations will help us identify any apparent trends or seasonality in the data.
To gain a deeper understanding of the time-series nature of the data, we will conduct time-series analysis year-wise and month-wise. This analysis will involve decomposing the time-series into its individual components like trend, seasonality, and noise. Additionally, we will look for patterns in price movements during specific months to identify any recurring seasonal effects.
To enhance our predictions, we will also incorporate technical indicators into our analysis. Technical indicators, such as moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), provide valuable information about price momentum and market trends. These indicators can be used as additional features in our machine learning models.
With a strong foundation of data exploration, visualization, and time-series analysis, we will now move on to building machine learning models for forecasting the closing price of cryptocurrencies. We will utilize algorithms like Linear Regression, Support Vector Regression, Random Forest Regression, Decision Tree Regression, K-Nearest Neighbors Regression, Adaboost Regression, Gradient Boosting Regression, Extreme Gradient Boosting Regression, Light Gradient Boosting Regression, Catboost Regression, Multi-Layer Perceptron Regression, Lasso Regression, and Ridge Regression to make forecasting. By training our models on historical data, they will learn to recognize patterns and make predictions for future price movements.
As part of our machine learning efforts, we will also develop models for predicting daily returns of cryptocurrencies. Daily returns are essential indicators for investors and traders, as they reflect the percentage change in price from one day to the next. By using historical price data and technical indicators as input features, we can build models that forecast daily returns accurately. Throughout the project, we will perform extensive hyperparameter tuning using techniques like Grid Search and Random Search. This will help us identify the best combinations of hyperparameters for each model, optimizing their performance.
To validate the accuracy and robustness of our models, we will use various evaluation metrics such as Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and R-squared. These metrics will provide insights into the model's ability to predict cryptocurrency prices accurately.
In conclusion, this project on cryptocurrency price analysis, prediction, and forecasting is a comprehensive exploration of using machine learning with Python to analyze and predict cryptocurrency price movements. By leveraging data visualization, time-series analysis, technical indicators, and machine learning algorithms, we aim to build accurate and reliable models for predicting future price movements and daily returns. The project's outcomes will be valuable for investors, traders, and analysts looking to make informed decisions in the highly volatile and dynamic world of cryptocurrencies. Through rigorous evaluation and validation, we strive to create robust models that can contribute to a better understanding of cryptocurrency market dynamics and support data-driven decision-making.
ਰੇਟਿੰਗਾਂ ਅਤੇ ਸਮੀਖਿਆਵਾਂ
ਲੇਖਕ ਬਾਰੇ
Vivian Siahaan is a fast-learner who likes to do new things. She was born, raised in Hinalang Bagasan, Balige, on the banks of Lake Toba, and completed high school education from SMAN 1 Balige. She started herself learning Java, Android, JavaScript, CSS, C ++, Python, R, Visual Basic, Visual C #, MATLAB, Mathematica, PHP, JSP, MySQL, SQL Server, Oracle, Access, and other programming languages. She studied programming from scratch, starting with the most basic syntax and logic, by building several simple and applicable GUI applications. Animation and games are fields of programming that are interests that she always wants to develop. Besides studying mathematical logic and programming, the author also has the pleasure of reading novels. Vivian Siahaan has written dozens of ebooks that have been published on Sparta Publisher: Data Structure with Java; Java Programming: Cookbook; C ++ Programming: Cookbook; C Programming For High Schools / Vocational Schools and Students; Java Programming for SMA / SMK; Java Tutorial: GUI, Graphics and Animation; Visual Basic Programming: From A to Z; Java Programming for Animation and Games; C # Programming for SMA / SMK and Students; MATLAB For Students and Researchers; Graphics in JavaScript: Quick Learning Series; JavaScript Image Processing Methods: From A to Z; Java GUI Case Study: AWT & Swing; Basic CSS and JavaScript; PHP / MySQL Programming: Cookbook; Visual Basic: Cookbook; C ++ Programming for High Schools / Vocational Schools and Students; Concepts and Practices of C ++; PHP / MySQL For Students; C # Programming: From A to Z; Visual Basic for SMA / SMK and Students; C # .NET and SQL Server for High School / Vocational School and Students. At the ANDI Yogyakarta publisher, Vivian Siahaan also wrote a number of books including: Python Programming Theory and Practice; Python GUI Programming; Python GUI and Database; Build From Zero School Database Management System In Python / MySQL; Database Management System in Python / MySQL; Python / MySQL For Management Systems of Criminal Track Record Database; Java / MySQL For Management Systems of Criminal Track Records Database; Database and Cryptography Using Java / MySQL; Build From Zero School Database Management System With Java / MySQL.
Rismon Hasiholan Sianipar was born in Pematang Siantar, in 1994. After graduating from SMAN 3 Pematang Siantar 3, the writer traveled to the city of Jogjakarta. In 1998 and 2001 the author completed his Bachelor of Engineering (S.T) and Master of Engineering (M.T) education in the Electrical Engineering of Gadjah Mada University, under the guidance of Prof. Dr. Adhi Soesanto and Prof. Dr. Thomas Sri Widodo, focusing on research on non-stationary signals by analyzing their energy using time-frequency maps. Because of its non-stationary nature, the distribution of signal energy becomes very dynamic on a time-frequency map. By mapping the distribution of energy in the time-frequency field using discrete wavelet transformations, one can design non-linear filters so that they can analyze the pattern of the data contained in it. In 2003, the author received a Monbukagakusho scholarship from the Japanese Government. In 2005 and 2008, he completed his Master of Engineering (M.Eng) and Doctor of Engineering (Dr.Eng) education at Yamaguchi University, under the guidance of Prof. Dr. Hidetoshi Miike. Both the master's thesis and his doctoral thesis, R.H. Sianipar combines SR-FHN (Stochastic Resonance Fitzhugh-Nagumo) filter strength with cryptosystem ECC (elliptic curve cryptography) 4096-bit both to suppress noise in digital images and digital video and maintain its authenticity. The results of this study have been documented in international scientific journals and officially patented in Japan. One of the patents was published in Japan with a registration number 2008-009549. He is active in collaborating with several universities and research institutions in Japan, particularly in the fields of cryptography, cryptanalysis and audio / image / video digital forensics. R.H. Sianipar also has experience in conducting code-breaking methods (cryptanalysis) on a number of intelligence data that are the object of research studies in Japan. R.H. Sianipar has a number of Japanese patents, and has written a number of national / international scientific articles, and dozens of national books. R.H. Sianipar has also participated in a number of workshops related to cryptography, cryptanalysis, digital watermarking, and digital forensics. In a number of workshops, R.H. Sianipar helps Prof. Hidetoshi Miike to create applications related to digital image / video processing, steganography, cryptography, watermarking, non-linear screening, intelligent descriptor-based computer vision, and others, which are used as training materials. Field of interest in the study of R.H. Sianipar is multimedia security, signal processing / digital image / video, cryptography, digital communication, digital forensics, and data compression / coding. Until now, R.H. Sianipar continues to develop applications related to analysis of signal, image, and digital video, both for research purposes and for commercial purposes based on the Python programming language, MATLAB, C ++, C, VB.NET, C # .NET, R, and Java.
