How Are Farmers Adapting to Climate Change in Vietnam?: Endogeneity and Sample Selection in a Rice Yield Model
Bingxin Yu · Tingju Zhu · Clemens Breisinger · Nguyen Manh Hai
2013年3月 · IFPRI Discussion Paper 第 1 冊 · Intl Food Policy Res Inst
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Vietnam is likely to be among the countries hardest hit by climate change, threatening its legacy as a champion in leveraging agriculture for development. This paper examines how a changing climate may affect rice production and how Vietnamese farmers are likely to adapt to various climatic conditions using an innovative yield function approach, taking into account sample selection bias and endogeneity of inputs. Model results suggest that although climate change can potentially reduce rice production, farmers will respond mainly by adjusting the production portfolio and levels of input use. However, investments in rural infrastructure and human capital will have to support farmers in the adaptation process if production levels and farm incomes are to be sustained in the future.
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